Super Tuesday: Will Haley Drop Out? Plus More to Watch For.

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Tomas Kauer - News Moderator Tomas Kauer - News Moderator
Mar 5, 2024 - 19:00
Super Tuesday: Will Haley Drop Out? Plus More to Watch For.

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What to watch for on Super Tuesday: A slate of elections has loomed large for Nikki Haley, with the biggest troves of delegates — in California and Texas — almost certain to go to Donald Trump.

A man in a navy blue jacket adjusts a sign outside near the road that reads “Vote here.”
A poll worker last week during early voting in Berryville, Ark. Arkansas, alongside 14 other states and one territory, will host primaries on March 5, for Super Tuesday.Credit…Terra Fondriest for The New York Times

Jonathan Weisman

Voters in 15 states, including two titans, California and Texas, will head to the polls on March 5 for a Super Tuesday that is likely to set a White House rematch in November between President Biden and former President Donald J. Trump.

The contests will also determine the contours of races for the House and Senate that will shape the legislative branch next year.

Here is what else to watch as the results roll in.

Will Nikki Haley end her campaign, or keep going?

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Nikki Haley won her first Republican presidential primary on Sunday, but comes into Super Tuesday lagging in both delegates and the polls to former President Donald J. Trump.Credit…Ruth Fremson/The New York Times

Ms. Haley, the former governor of South Carolina and Mr. Trump’s first ambassador to the United Nations, won her first Republican primary on Sunday, in the District of Columbia, and could pick up a few more on Tuesday. The moderate Republican senators of Maine, Susan Collins, and Alaska, Lisa Murkowski, endorsed her in recent days, just in time for their states’ Super Tuesday contests.

Minnesota’s open primary on Tuesday will allow Democrats to vote for Ms. Haley if they choose. And polling in Virginia showed her inching closer to Mr. Trump.

But the biggest troves of delegates — California has 169 and Texas 161 — are almost certain to go to the former president, and Super Tuesday has loomed large for Ms. Haley’s donors, who need to see she has a chance. More than a third of all delegates will be allotted on Tuesday, not enough to make Mr. Trump the presumptive nominee but enough to make him the prohibitive favorite.

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